Sunday, May 19, 2013

Evolutionary Argument Against Naturalism (p. 5)

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Evolutionary Argument Against Naturalism
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Conclusion



The evolutionary argument against naturalism goes like this:
  1. Pr(R|N&E) is low
  2. The person who belives N&E (naturalism and evolution) and sees that Pr(R|N&E) is low has a defeater for R.
  3. Anyone who has a defeater for R has a defeater for pretty much any other belief she has, including (if she believed it) N&E.
  4. Therefore, the devotee of N&E (at least such a devotee who is aware of the truth of premise 1) has a self-defeating belief.
One of the big reasons to accept the Probability Thesis (premise 1) is that if N&E were true, then the semantic content of our beliefs is causally irrelevant in the sense that a belief causes stuff by virtue of its neurophysiological (NP) properties, and not by its semantic content. If a belief had the same NP properties but different content, the same behavior would result (the same neurophysiological properties means we would have the same electrical impulses travelling down the same neural pathways and thus issuing the same muscular contractions). Even if reductive materialism were true, beliefs appear to cause behavior by virtue of their NP properties, not by their semantic content. The BID scenario in particular illustrates that even on reductive materialism, the semantic content of a belief can be quite unrelated to the person’s external environment when that belief causes behavior, e.g. the situation where the NP properties of the belief Grass is air cause Smith to eat coconut ice cream.

Because of such causal irrelevancy, on N&E the electrochemical reactions that cause our behavior could generate any semantic content at all (e.g. 2 + 2 = 1 or Grass is air) without that content affecting behavior. The semantic content could even be “garbage” beliefs unrelated to the external environment, as in dreams, and it still wouldn’t affect behavior. It would still be possible that the electrochemical reactions that produce advantageous behavior also generate mostly true beliefs, but it would seem to the most serendipitous of coincidences if that were to occur, given the causal irrelevance of a belief’s semantic content. Thus, Pr(R|N&E) is low.

The argument for the Defeater Thesis (premise 2) is that if R is defeated in (S1), then it is defeated in (S2), and if R defeated in (S3), then it is defeated in (S4), and so forth, where (S6) is the scenario of a person who accepts both N&E and the Probability Thesis. The general idea is that the effect of an evolutionary naturalist believing Pr(R|N&E) to be low is akin to believing that drug XX has been put into one’s body (where drug XX destroys the cognitive reliability of most who take it).

The upshot of all this is that there is a serious conflict between science and naturalism, because the conjunction of naturalism and evolution is in an interesting way self-defeating.

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Evolutionary Argument Against Naturalism (p. 4)

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Evolutionary Argument Against Naturalism
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The Defeater Thesis



Scenarios S1 to S5 below feature drug XX, a drug that renders one’s cognitive faculties unreliable for a high percentage of those who take it, though those so afflicted are incapable of detecting their own cognitive unreliability. A small percentage of people have a gene called “the blocking gene” that produces a protein that blocks the reliability-destroying effects of drug XX, but nobody else is immune to the drug. A few scenarios make reference to the XX-mutation, a mutation that causes one’s body to naturally produce and release drug XX into the body soon after one is born.

Scenario (S1): I know that my friend Sam has ingested drug XX, a drug that renders one’s cognitive faculties unreliable for a high percentage of those who take it, though those so afflicted are incapable of detecting their own cognitive unreliability. I know also however that Sam later comes to believe that an extensive battery of tests has established his cognitive reliability, though I have no independent reason for thinking this occurred. And since Sam obtained his belief about the cognitive tests long after he ingested drug XX, I conclude that the belief was likely produced by unreliable cognitive faculties, and I have a defeater for my belief that Sam's cognitive faculties are reliable.

Scenario (S2): I as a three-year-old child ingest drug XX while being aware of its potential effects. I know of no relevant difference that distinguishes my case from Sam’s. The case of Sam, learning of drug XX, and ingesting drug XX are my earliest memories. Some years after the incident I come to believe I have taken an extensive battery of tests that establish my cognitive reliability, but since this belief came long after I ingested drug XX, I conclude that my belief was likely the product of unreliable cognitive faculties and that I have a defeater for my belief that my cognitive faculties are reliable.

Scenario (S3): A doctor has injected me with drug XX soon after I was born (the doctor mistakenly thought he was injecting an important vaccine), and I come to believe in the following. I initially believe I am the product of a sort of evolution that makes the reliability of my cognitive faculties very likely. I am a renowned scientist who has built a machine that I know is capable of reliably detecting whether and when drug XX entered a person's bloodstream. I administer the test to myself and the machine reports that drug XX came into my bloodstream at around the time I was born. Later I come to believe that I have taken an extensive battery of tests that establish my cognitive reliability, but since this belief came long after drug XX entered my bloodstream, I conclude that I have a defeater for my belief that my cognitive faculties are reliable.

Scenario (S4): Naturalistic evolution gave me the XX-mutation and I come to believe in the following. I am a renowned scientist who has built a machine that I know is capable of reliably detecting whether and when drug XX entered a person’s bloodstream. For most of my life I have believed that I am the product of a sort of evolution that makes my cognitive reliability very likely. After some years though I administer the test to myself and the machine reports that drug XX came into my bloodstream at around the time I was born. Later I come to believe that I have taken an extensive battery of tests that establish my cognitive reliability, but since this belief came long after drug XX entered my bloodstream, I conclude that I have a defeater for my belief that my cognitive faculties are reliable.

Scenario (S5): The only humanoid species on my planet is homo sapiens, and all of us have the XX-mutation. I come to believe in the following. Via a nifty combination of scientific and philosophical argumentation, it is proven beyond all reasonable doubt that naturalistic evolution entails that the XX-mutation is inevitably a part of any humanoid’s genetics. Though there is the small chance of a humanoid species also having the blocking gene as part of its normal genetics, no other humanoid species would evolve the blocking gene. I conclude that the probability of my humanoid cognitive faculties being reliable given that I am a product of naturalistic evolution is low. Later I come to believe that there is overwhelming evidence for my cognitive reliability (e.g. I believe credible scientists have told me that we all have the blocking gene) but since this belief came after drug XX came into my bloodstream, I conclude that my belief in the blocking gene etc. was likely produced by unreliable cognitive faculties, and that I have a defeater for my belief that my cognitive faculties are reliable.

Scenario (S6): The Probability Thesis is true and Pr(R|N&E) is low, but I do not initially believe this and instead think I am the product of a sort of evolution that makes my cognitive reliability very likely. Later however I study philosophy and see for myself that the probability of my humanoid cognitive faculties being reliable given that I am a product of naturalistic evolution is low. Afterwards I come to believe I have taken an extensive battery of tests that establish my cognitive reliability, but since this belief came long after N&E has already affected my cognitive faculties, I conclude that I have a defeater for my belief that my cognitive faculties are reliable.

So above we have a slippery slope of scenarios. The idea is that if R is defeated in (S1), then it is defeated in (S2), and if R is defeated in (S3), then it is defeated in (S4), and so forth. If R is not defeated in (S6), where does the slippery slope stop and why? Where does there exist a relevant difference between two scenarios that saves R from defeat?

It’s particularly hard to find a relevant difference between (S5) and (S6). One might say in (S6) we know of overwhelming evidence in addition to N&E that makes R likely, but why exactly do we know of this in (S6) but not in (S5)? To make the problem more explicit, imagine that the two worlds of (S5) and (S6) are essentially identical apart from the differences entailed in (S5), such that I believe that the specific type of naturalistic evolution my species is a product of has given me genes that (together with proper nutrition etc.) makes it likely that my cognitive faculties are reliable, that cognitive science and evolutionary biology has given us strong evidence for human cognitive reliability, that truth-conducive faculties are adaptive in Earth primates, and so forth. I also believe that we have the blocking gene to nullify the effects of the XX-mutation. On top of that, let us say that the people in scenarios (S1) to (S5) lucked out to the point where everyone has the blocking gene. Yet still belief in cognitive reliability seems defeated when the people believe that all of the alleged evidence for cognitive reliability is obtained long after drug XX enters the bloodstream. So how exactly is it that the alleged evidence for R is defeated in scenario (S5) but not in scenario (S6)? If there is a relevant difference between the two scenarios, what is it?

One could believe that the relevant difference between scenarios (S5) and (S6) is N&E’s mechanism of probable cognitive unreliability, i.e. the mechanism that makes Pr(R|N&E) low. In (S5) naturalistic evolution’s mechanism of probable cognitive unreliability is drug XX, whereas in (S6) it is (presumably) some other physiological process. But this hardly seems like a relevant difference when the different causes produce essentially the same effect: making it unlikely that one’s humanoid cognitive faculties are reliable given that one is a product of naturalistic evolution. In scenarios (S5) and (S6), what N&E’s mechanism of probable cognitive unreliability is (whether it be drug XX or some other mechanism) does not seem to matter.

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Evolutionary Argument Against Naturalism (p. 3)

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Evolutionary Argument Against Naturalism
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The problem with reductive materialism



As I mentioned in Plantinga’s Argument against Materialism, Plantinga argues that even if it is true that a belief is causally relevant by virtue of it having a certain content, it doesn’t follow that the semantic content is itself causally relevant. To illustrate, suppose Alvin throws a ball that has a mass of 0.2 kilograms and the ball hits a glass window, causing it to break. If the ball had been much lighter (say, the mass of a feather) it would not have broken the glass, so the ball breaks the window by virtue of (among other things) being 0.2 kilograms. Now suppose the property of having a mass of 0.2 kilograms is Sam’s favorite property. Thus we have the following:

   Having a mass of 0.2 kilograms =  Sam’s favorite property


Since having a mass of 0.2 kilograms is Sam’s favorite property (it isn’t his favorite property by definition, but reductive materialists similarly don’t [typically] believe the identity relationship between a belief and a Boolean combination of NP properties holds by definition), it follows then that a ball breaks the window by virtue of having Sam’s favorite property. And yet, this:

   Having a mass of 0.2 kilograms is Sam’s favorite property


doesn’t really seem to have anything to do with why the ball breaks the window, even though it is by virtue of having Sam’s favorite property that the ball breaks the window. Similarly, the fact that a set of NP properties is a belief doesn’t seem to have anything to do with why the set of NP properties causes behavior, even if it is true that a belief causes behavior by virtue of having a certain semantic content.

I think we can make this clearer by considering the following thought experiment. Suppose reductive materialism is true and a mad scientist inserts a belief interface device (BID) in Smith’s brain that acts as a new interface between Smith’s belief and behavior. For example, the mad scientist configures the BID so that when Smith believes I am thirsty the NP properties of this belief electrochemically affect the BID and the BID subsequently causes Smith’s body to get a drink of water. The mad scientist can configure the BID at will so that any given belief can cause just about any behavior. For instance, the mad scientist configures the BID so that the NP properties of the belief Drinking water will kill me and I don’t want to die trigger an electrochemical reaction that (thanks to the belief interface device) causes Smith’s body to get a drink of water. The mad scientist configures the BID again so that the NP properties of the belief Grass is air cause Smith to eat coconut ice cream. All this would be possible on reductive materialism because a human’s belief causes stuff by virtue of its NP properties, not its semantic content, even if it were the case that beliefs are just combinations of NP properties. Thus even on reductive materialism the semantic content of a belief is in a very real sense causally irrelevant.

To recap what we have so far: given materialism, a human’s belief is a neural structure possessing semantic content, and the semantic content of a belief is causally irrelevant in the sense that a belief causes stuff by virtue of its NP properties, and not by its semantic content. If a belief had the same NP properties but different semantic content, the same behavior would result (since having the same neurophysiological properties means we would have the same electrical impulses travelling down the same neural pathways and thus issuing the same muscular contractions). Even if reductive materialism were true and beliefs are just Boolean combinations of NP properties, beliefs appear to cause behavior by virtue of their NP properties, not by their semantic content. The BID scenario in particular illustrates that even on reductive materialism, the semantic content of a belief can be quite unrelated to the person’s external environment when that belief causes behavior, e.g. the situation where the NP properties of the belief Grass is air cause Smith to eat coconut ice cream.

The Alien Scenario



To help guard against bias towards our own species, think not of us but of some alien creatures where N&E is true with respect to them. Let RA be “the cognitive faculties of the aliens are reliable.” In such a situation, it’s really quite remarkable that N&E implies the causal irrelevance of a belief’s semantic content. The electrochemical reactions that cause the behavior of the aliens could generate any semantic content at all (e.g. 2 + 2 = 1 or Grass is air) without that content affecting behavior. The semantic content could even be “garbage” beliefs unrelated to the external environment, as in dreams, and it still wouldn’t affect behavior. Of course, it would still be possible that the electrochemical reactions that produce advantageous behavior also generate mostly true beliefs, but it would seem to the most serendipitous of coincidences if that were to occur, given the causal irrelevance of a belief’s semantic content. Pr(RA|N&E) is thus clearly low.

But then the same sort of thing would hold true for our human species, and we have the following argument:
  1. If Pr(RA|N&E) is low, then Pr(R|N&E) is low.
  2. Pr(RA|N&E) is low.
  3. Therefore, Pr(R|N&E) is low.
In response one could put forth the following rebuttal. Even though naturalism unavoidably entails that a belief’s semantic content is causally irrelevant, the fitness-enhancing NP properties that are most likely to be selected by natural selection (say that a certain neurophysiology is selectable just in case it’s likely to be selected by natural selection) happen to be those that are truth-conducive in the sense that they yield mostly true beliefs. The BID scenario is contrived and produces certain belief-behavior pairs that are unlikely to obtain in real human physiology; the real way beliefs interface with behavior doesn’t work that way. The most selectable and efficient way for neurophysiology to produce advantageous behavior also produces true beliefs. Thus, even though a belief’s content is causally irrelevant, luckily for us the physiological relation between semantic content and behavior is such that true beliefs usually obtain.

All that may be true, but as an objection against the Probability Thesis it falls short. Remember, we are not evaluating the probability of R given “the way things are” (and I would concede that given the way things are, our cognitive faculties are probably reliable) but rather given N&E. For reasons given, it does not seem likely that if N&E were true that our cognitive faculties would be reliable. Also, a major problem is that even if a favorable physiological relation between beliefs and behavior were to obtain for our species in spite of the causal irrelevance of our semantic beliefs, such a favorable relation does not appear to be knowable from N&E alone. To illustrate, consider a planet with aliens whose neurophysiology radically different from ours (though we don’t know much more about it). Given this, the BID scenario, and the causal irrelevance of a belief’s content, for all we know the most selectable and efficient fitness-enhancing alien neurophysiology available to natural selection has a physiological relation between beliefs and behavior that is wildly different from what human naturalists believes about themselves (think of the case where the NP properties of Grass is air cause Smith to eat coconut ice cream). So there are possible worlds where the most selectable alien neurophysiology is such that the fitness-enhancing neurophysiology produces mostly false beliefs. Of course, there are also possible worlds where the most selectable alien neurophysiology produces mostly true beliefs. But there’s no way to establish on N&E alone that the truth-conducive neurophysiology is more selectable, in part because the alien neurophysiology is too mysterious and too radically different from our own. Given just N&E (and how it doesn’t matter which semantic content gets produced from the behavior-causing electrochemical reactions), for all we know the behavior-causing neurophysiology yields “garbage” beliefs that have little to do with the environment, as in dreams.

One could concede that the probability of R given N&E is low but also claim we know some proposition P (perhaps that the physiological relation between beliefs and behavior happens to be benevolent for our species) such that Pr(R|N&E&P) is high, and we have excellent reason to believe that P is true. Therefore, Pr(R|N&E) being low does not defeat R for the evolutionary naturalist. This however would be an objection against the Defeater Thesis rather than the Probability Thesis, so it will not be discussed in this section. Can the Defeater Thesis withstand this objection? For that matter, why accept the Defeater Thesis in the first place?

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[1] Plantinga, Alvin. “A New Argument against Materialism” Philosophia Christi 14.1 (Summer 2012) p. 21